Ebbsfleet United 2-2 Wealdstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.22
6+ Goals
8%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 30% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.76
1/2
8%
26.0
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
13%
5.75
X/2
16%
5.43
X/X
8%
4.99
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
11%
3.46
2/X
11%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 42%
-3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.22/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.94
-12% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -33%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
304 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ebbsfleet United
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Wealdstone
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
06.01.2024 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 2-0 HT 1-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
09.09.2023 Wealdstone Wealdstone 2-1 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
25.08.2014 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-0 HT 0-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebbsfleet United
2-2
AWAY Wealdstone
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
0 Passes 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ebbsfleet United vs Wealdstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ebbsfleet United and Wealdstone shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ebbsfleet United had 51% of the ball to Wealdstone's 49%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ebbsfleet United and 0.67 for Wealdstone.

What was the final score of Ebbsfleet United vs Wealdstone?

Ebbsfleet United 2-2 Wealdstone in the England - National League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebbsfleet United vs Wealdstone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ebbsfleet United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 37%, draw 28%, Wealdstone 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) ✗ Under 2.5
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