Crewe Alexandra 3-1 Tranmere Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 26 Oct 2024

Crewe Alexandra
3-1 HT 1-1
Tranmere Rovers
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Crewe Alexandra vs Tranmere Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.36
6+ Goals
9%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.28
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.0
X/1
15%
4.7
X/2
10%
6.05
X/X
15%
4.16
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
15%
4.66
2/X
6%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.3pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Crewe Alexandra v Tranmere Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.03/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.52
+12% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 68%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
19.8 Crosses 20.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Crewe Alexandra vs Tranmere Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crewe Alexandra
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.72 xG 1.31
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
288 Passes 258
69% Pass Accuracy 67%
18 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.02.2024 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
14.10.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 2-0 HT 1-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
01.01.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-0 HT 1-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
18.10.2022 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 0-1 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İNTK
14.10.2022 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 3-0 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
08.03.2019 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2

Crewe Alexandra 3-1 Tranmere Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crewe Alexandra
3-1
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
2.01 xG 0.73
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
317 Passes 185
81% Pass Accuracy 67%
20 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Crewe Alexandra vs Tranmere Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crewe Alexandra beat Tranmere Rovers 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Crewe Alexandra found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Crewe Alexandra had 59% of the ball to Tranmere Rovers's 41%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 2.01 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tranmere Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Crewe Alexandra and 0.83 for Tranmere Rovers.

What was the final score of Crewe Alexandra vs Tranmere Rovers?

Crewe Alexandra 3-1 Tranmere Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crewe Alexandra vs Tranmere Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crewe Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra 39%, draw 30%, Tranmere Rovers 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crewe Alexandra) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crewe Alexandra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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