Newport County 0-0 Fleetwood Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 26 Oct 2024

Newport County
0-0 HT 0-0
Fleetwood Town
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Newport County vs Fleetwood Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
48%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.18
Over Pick
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
26%
4.28
2-3
40%
1.87
4-5
23%
2.99
6+
11%
9.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.25
1/2
7%
22.3
1/X
5%
13.45
X/1
13%
7.71
X/2
19%
4.6
X/X
10%
5.37
2/1 ✗
7%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.56
2/X
7%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+1.7pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
49%
Away Win
48%
+0.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newport County v Fleetwood Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newport County EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 52%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.14/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.49
-4% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +143%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.5 Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards –

Newport County vs Fleetwood Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newport County
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Fleetwood Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
The Meetings
04.03.2014 Newport County Newport County 0-0 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN2
02.11.2013 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 4-1 HT 1-0 Newport County Newport County İN2
17.12.2011 Newport County Newport County 0-1 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İBSL
11.10.2011 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-4 HT 1-3 Newport County Newport County İBSL
05.03.2011 Newport County Newport County 1-3 HT 0-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İBSL
18.12.2010 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Newport County Newport County İBSL

Newport County 0-0 Fleetwood Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newport County
0-0
AWAY Fleetwood Town
1.27 xG 2.02
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
248 Passes 287
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Newport County vs Fleetwood Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newport County and Fleetwood Town fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Fleetwood Town at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Newport County had 48% of the ball to Fleetwood Town's 52%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.27 to 2.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fleetwood Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Newport County and 1.67 for Fleetwood Town.

What was the final score of Newport County vs Fleetwood Town?

Newport County 0-0 Fleetwood Town in the England - 2nd Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newport County vs Fleetwood Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fleetwood Town win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Newport County 29%, draw 23%, Fleetwood Town 49%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fleetwood Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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