Plymouth Argyle 3-3 Preston North End — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
33%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.78
Over
41%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
34%
3.05
2-3
39%
1.78
4-5
18%
3.82
6+
9%
16.7
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.05 — our 34% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.14
1/2
5%
28.0
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
16%
5.97
X/2
14%
4.98
X/X
13%
4.42
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
14%
3.34
2/X
6%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-6.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.9pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Preston North End EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -30%
1.10/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.25
+27% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
272 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 76%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
17.1 Crosses 18.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Argyle
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Preston North End
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.21 xG 1.43
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
370 Passes 178
77% Pass Accuracy 62%
21 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 0-1 HT 0-1 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
16.09.2023 Preston North End Preston North End 2-1 HT 2-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
06.03.2010 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-1 HT 0-1 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
12.12.2009 Preston North End Preston North End 2-0 HT 2-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
03.02.2009 Preston North End Preston North End 1-1 HT 1-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
21.10.2008 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-0 HT 1-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plymouth Argyle
3-3
AWAY Preston North End
1.08 xG 2.08
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 1
357 Passes 252
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Plymouth Argyle vs Preston North End
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plymouth Argyle and Preston North End shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Plymouth Argyle had 57% of the ball to Preston North End's 43%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.08 to 2.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Preston North End led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Plymouth Argyle and 1.17 for Preston North End.

What was the final score of Plymouth Argyle vs Preston North End?

Plymouth Argyle 3-3 Preston North End in the England - Championship on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Argyle vs Preston North End?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plymouth Argyle win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Argyle 40%, draw 27%, Preston North End 33%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Plymouth Argyle) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
26 Oct 2024
14:30 Bristol City vs Leeds United Analysis →
14:30 Watford vs Blackburn Rovers Analysis →
14:30 Coventry vs Luton Town Analysis →
17:00 Burnley vs Queens Park Rangers Analysis →
17:00 Sheffield United vs Stoke City Analysis →
17:00 Derby County vs Hull City Analysis →