Workington 2-3 Bamber Bridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.38
Over 2.5
47%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
5.0
2-3 Goals
45%
1.95
4-5 Goals
21%
2.76
6+ Goals
9%
7.27
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.0 — our 25% vs market 15.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
38%
+15.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
62%
-15.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.7pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Workington EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bamber Bridge EU Bookmakers 37%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+120% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Workington
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Bamber Bridge
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2024 Workington Workington 1-2 HT 0-2 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge İNGNLP
01.01.2024 Workington Workington 2-2 HT 1-0 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge İNGNLP
28.08.2023 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge 3-0 HT 3-0 Workington Workington İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Workington vs Bamber Bridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bamber Bridge nicked a narrow win over Workington 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Workington at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bamber Bridge led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Workington and 2.33 for Bamber Bridge.

What was the final score of Workington vs Bamber Bridge?

Workington 2-3 Bamber Bridge in the England - FA Cup on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Workington vs Bamber Bridge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Workington win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Workington 44%, draw 24%, Bamber Bridge 33%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Workington), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Workington) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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