IF Karlstad 3-4 Umea FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.33
Over 2.5
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+10.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-10.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.9pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IF Karlstad EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Umea FC EU Bookmakers 40%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +20%
2.00/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.48
+33% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IF Karlstad
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Umea FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
14.04.2024 Umea FC Umea FC 5-2 HT 2-1 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
16.09.2023 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 2-2 HT 2-1 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
21.05.2023 Umea FC Umea FC 3-0 HT 2-0 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
30.10.2022 Umea FC Umea FC 1-1 HT 0-1 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
30.07.2022 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 1-0 HT 1-0 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
04.09.2021 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 4-0 HT 2-0 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IF Karlstad
3-4
AWAY Umea FC
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IF Karlstad vs Umea FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umea FC edged past IF Karlstad 4-3 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Umea FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, IF Karlstad had 44% of the ball to Umea FC's 56%, shots finished 7-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for IF Karlstad and 1.83 for Umea FC.

What was the final score of IF Karlstad vs Umea FC?

IF Karlstad 3-4 Umea FC in the Sweden - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IF Karlstad vs Umea FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Umea FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split IF Karlstad 35%, draw 25%, Umea FC 40%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Umea FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Umea FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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