Tvaaker 2-2 Jönköpings Södra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.6pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tvaaker EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Jönköpings Södra EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
1.12/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.72
-30% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +122%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tvaaker
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Jönköpings Södra
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.05.2024 Jönköpings Södra Jönköpings Södra 1-2 HT 0-1 Tvaaker Tvaaker İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tvaaker
2-2
AWAY Jönköpings Södra
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tvaaker vs Jönköpings Södra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tvaaker and Jönköpings Södra couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Tvaaker at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Tvaaker had 50% of the ball to Jönköpings Södra's 50%, shots finished 20-10.

What was the final score of Tvaaker vs Jönköpings Södra?

Tvaaker 2-2 Jönköpings Södra in the Sweden - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tvaaker vs Jönköpings Södra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tvaaker win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tvaaker 41%, draw 30%, Jönköpings Södra 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tvaaker), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tvaaker) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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