Oskarshamns AIK 3-2 Onsala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-3.6pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.1pp
22%
Away Win
22%
-0.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.0pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oskarshamns AIK EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Onsala EU Bookmakers 26%
+7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
2.75/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/2.50
+46% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -80% / -36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
437 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oskarshamns AIK
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Onsala
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.05.2024 Onsala Onsala 2-3 HT 2-0 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oskarshamns AIK
3-2
AWAY Onsala
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oskarshamns AIK vs Onsala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oskarshamns AIK edged past Onsala 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Oskarshamns AIK as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Oskarshamns AIK had 48% of the ball to Onsala's 52%, shots finished 12-11.

What was the final score of Oskarshamns AIK vs Onsala?

Oskarshamns AIK 3-2 Onsala in the Sweden - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oskarshamns AIK vs Onsala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oskarshamns AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Oskarshamns AIK 52%, draw 26%, Onsala 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oskarshamns AIK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Oskarshamns AIK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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