Ljungskile 3-1 Angelholm — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
36%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.55
No
39%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-8.2pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.0pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+10.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.1pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ljungskile EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Angelholm EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +7%
1.61/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.45
-4% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
396 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ljungskile
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Angelholm
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.05.2024 Angelholm Angelholm 2-0 HT 1-0 Ljungskile Ljungskile İSÇ3
19.08.2023 Angelholm Angelholm 1-0 HT 1-0 Ljungskile Ljungskile İSÇ3
16.04.2023 Ljungskile Ljungskile 0-1 HT 0-1 Angelholm Angelholm İSÇ3
05.11.2022 Angelholm Angelholm 3-1 HT 2-0 Ljungskile Ljungskile İSÇ3
11.06.2022 Ljungskile Ljungskile 4-0 HT 2-0 Angelholm Angelholm İSÇ3
11.09.2016 Angelholm Angelholm 1-1 HT 1-1 Ljungskile Ljungskile İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ljungskile
3-1
AWAY Angelholm
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ljungskile vs Angelholm
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ljungskile saw off Angelholm 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ljungskile as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ljungskile had 40% of the ball to Angelholm's 60%, shots finished 8-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Angelholm led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ljungskile and 1.33 for Angelholm.

What was the final score of Ljungskile vs Angelholm?

Ljungskile 3-1 Angelholm in the Sweden - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ljungskile vs Angelholm?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ljungskile win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ljungskile 43%, draw 21%, Angelholm 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ljungskile), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ljungskile) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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