Adelaide United 1-1 Central Coast Mariners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 26 Oct 2024

Adelaide United
1-1 HT 1-0
Central Coast Mariners
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2024/2025

Adelaide United vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
38%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.43
Over 2.5
60%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.43
2-3 Goals
35%
2.0
4-5 Goals
27%
2.67
6+ Goals
17%
6.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.46
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
10%
4.79
X/2
10%
8.04
X/X
6%
5.98
2/1
10%
20.6
2/2
20%
5.02
2/X
8%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-10.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
38%
Away Win
27%
+10.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.4pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Adelaide United v Central Coast Mariners — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 31%
+10% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +9%
2.39/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.45
+20% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
24.7 Crosses 15.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3

Adelaide United vs Central Coast Mariners Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide United
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Central Coast Mariners
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.60 xG 1.64
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 4
385 Passes 315
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 29
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.05.2024 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 2-0 HT 1-0 Adelaide United Adelaide United AVUS
03.02.2024 Adelaide United Adelaide United 0-4 HT 0-3 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
20.10.2023 Adelaide United Adelaide United 3-0 HT 1-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
20.05.2023 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 2-0 HT 0-0 Adelaide United Adelaide United AVUS
13.05.2023 Adelaide United Adelaide United 1-2 HT 1-2 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
28.04.2023 Adelaide United Adelaide United 1-4 HT 0-2 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS

Adelaide United 1-1 Central Coast Mariners — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adelaide United
1-1
AWAY Central Coast Mariners
1.49 xG 1.27
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
589 Passes 337
91% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Adelaide United vs Central Coast Mariners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide United and Central Coast Mariners couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Adelaide United had 61% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners's 39%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.49 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Adelaide United and 2.33 for Central Coast Mariners.

What was the final score of Adelaide United vs Central Coast Mariners?

Adelaide United 1-1 Central Coast Mariners in the Australia - A-League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide United vs Central Coast Mariners?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United 39%, draw 24%, Central Coast Mariners 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Adelaide United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Adelaide United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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