Perth Glory 0-2 Wellington Phoenix — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 26 Oct 2024

Perth Glory
0-2 HT 0-1
Wellington Phoenix
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒13:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2024/2025

Perth Glory vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.3
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.65
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
6%
12.2
X/1
9%
5.94
X/2
14%
5.75
X/X
8%
5.08
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
26.5
2/2
17%
3.48
2/X
12%
12.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 10% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.3pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Perth Glory v Wellington Phoenix — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Wellington Phoenix EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +12%
1.66/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.29
+34% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.3
22.5 Crosses 16.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7

Perth Glory vs Wellington Phoenix Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth Glory
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Wellington Phoenix
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.09 xG 0.76
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
411 Passes 455
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.02.2024 Perth Glory Perth Glory 0-0 HT 0-0 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix AVUS
14.01.2024 Perth Glory Perth Glory 3-4 HT 1-2 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix AVUS
28.10.2023 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 2-1 HT 1-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
28.01.2023 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 2-2 HT 2-1 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
23.12.2022 Perth Glory Perth Glory 1-1 HT 1-1 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix AVUS
13.04.2022 Perth Glory Perth Glory 0-1 HT 0-0 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix AVUS

Perth Glory 0-2 Wellington Phoenix — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perth Glory
0-2
AWAY Wellington Phoenix
0.30 xG 0.53
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
399 Passes 374
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Perth Glory vs Wellington Phoenix
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wellington Phoenix got the better of Perth Glory 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Wellington Phoenix found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Perth Glory had 52% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix's 48%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.30 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wellington Phoenix led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Perth Glory and 1.67 for Wellington Phoenix.

What was the final score of Perth Glory vs Wellington Phoenix?

Perth Glory 0-2 Wellington Phoenix in the Australia - A-League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory vs Wellington Phoenix?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wellington Phoenix win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory 36%, draw 26%, Wellington Phoenix 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wellington Phoenix) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wellington Phoenix) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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