Wolverhampton vs Burnley Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wolverhampton v Burnley — Team-Based Signals
Wolverhampton vs Burnley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Burnley
İNP
1-0
HT 0-0
Wolverhampton
İNP
0-0
HT 0-0
Burnley
İNP
0-4
HT 0-3
Burnley
İNP
Wolverhampton 2-3 Burnley — Actual Match Statistics
Burnley squeezed past Wolverhampton 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Wolverhampton at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Wolverhampton had 57% of the ball to Burnley's 43%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.28 to 1.40 — the balance of chances actually favoured Wolverhampton.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Wolverhampton and 1.00 for Burnley.
What was the final score of Wolverhampton vs Burnley?
Wolverhampton 2-3 Burnley in the England - Premier League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wolverhampton vs Burnley?
Before kick-off our model rated a Wolverhampton win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Wolverhampton 52%, draw 24%, Burnley 24%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.