Bournemouth 2-0 Nottingham Forest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.26
6+ Goals
9%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 30% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.64
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
21%
4.7
X/2
10%
7.69
X/X
13%
4.99
2/1
8%
23.55
2/2
11%
5.64
2/X
6%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bournemouth EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.46/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.60
+5% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
19.6 Crosses 16.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bournemouth
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Nottingham Forest
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.33 xG 1.28
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
318 Passes 323
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2025 Bournemouth Bournemouth 5-0 HT 1-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
17.08.2024 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-1 HT 1-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
04.02.2024 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-1 HT 1-1 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
23.12.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-3 HT 0-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
21.01.2023 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-1 HT 1-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
03.09.2022 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-3 HT 2-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bournemouth
2-0
AWAY Nottingham Forest
0.58 xG 0.37
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
359 Passes 318
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 7
10 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bournemouth got the better of Nottingham Forest 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bournemouth as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Bournemouth had 52% of the ball to Nottingham Forest's 48%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.58 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bournemouth had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Bournemouth and 1.17 for Nottingham Forest.

What was the final score of Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?

Bournemouth 2-0 Nottingham Forest in the England - Premier League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bournemouth win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bournemouth 48%, draw 26%, Nottingham Forest 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bournemouth), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bournemouth) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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