Fiorentina 2-2 Bologna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 26 Oct 2025

Fiorentina
2 - 2 HT 0 - 1
Bologna
📅26/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
35%
2.88
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
1.52
Over
36%
2.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.0
No
53%
1.72
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2.29
2-3
46%
1.76
4-5
15%
4.99
6+
2%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.07
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
14%
5.54
X/2
11%
5.7
X/X
24%
3.61
2/1
2%
35.0
2/2
16%
4.24
2/X
6%
13.5
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Fiorentina The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bologna The Market 37%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.27 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.95
1.07 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.15
Strong Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Weak
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
245 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 77%
21 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bologna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.30 xG 1.79
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
296 Passes 405
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2025 Fiorentina Fiorentina 3-2 HT 1-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
15.12.2024 Bologna Bologna 1-0 HT 0-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
14.02.2024 Bologna Bologna 2-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
09.01.2024 Fiorentina Fiorentina 0-0 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTK
12.11.2023 Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-1 HT 1-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
05.02.2023 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-2 HT 1-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina
2 - 2
AWAY Bologna
3.72 xG 1.02
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
256 Passes 252
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Fiorentina vs Bologna
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Fiorentina and Bologna finished all square at 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 35% / 29%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, possession split 50% to 50% in Fiorentina's favour, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 3.72 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bologna led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Fiorentina against 1.33 for Bologna.

Fiorentina vs Bologna Result & Final Score

Fiorentina 2 - 2 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Fiorentina vs Bologna Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina 36%, draw 35%, Bologna 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTA More Italy - Serie A
26 Oct 2025
14:30 Torino vs Genoa Analysis →
17:00 Sassuolo vs Roma Analysis →
17:00 Hellas Verona vs Cagliari Analysis →
22:45 Lazio vs Juventus Analysis →