Fiorentina vs Bologna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Fiorentina v Bologna — Team-Based Signals
Fiorentina vs Bologna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Fiorentina 3-2 Bologna — Actual Match Statistics
Fiorentina squeezed past Bologna 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Fiorentina found the edge the numbers couldn't. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (57%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, Fiorentina had 40% of the ball to Bologna's 60%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 1.76 to 2.46 — on chances, Bologna could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bologna led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fiorentina and 1.33 for Bologna.
Fiorentina vs Bologna Result & Final Score
Fiorentina 3-2 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Fiorentina vs Bologna Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina 35%, draw 30%, Bologna 35%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.