Cagliari 3-0 Venezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
36%
2.88
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.67
Over
39%
2.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.69
2-3
40%
1.76
4-5
15%
4.18
6+
10%
20.6
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.69 — our 35% vs market 30.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.0
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
7%
12.3
X/1
13%
5.9
X/2
14%
6.07
X/X
21%
3.85
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
11%
4.17
2/X
8%
12.35
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cagliari The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Venezia The Market 37%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.29 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.90
1.12 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 2.40
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Bad
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
22.6 Crosses 20.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cagliari
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Venezia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.29 xG 1.12
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
387 Passes 308
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2024 Venezia Venezia 2-1 HT 1-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
27.05.2023 Cagliari Cagliari 2-1 HT 2-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
25.02.2023 Venezia Venezia 0-0 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTB
01.10.2022 Cagliari Cagliari 1-4 HT 1-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
22.05.2022 Venezia Venezia 0-0 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
01.10.2021 Cagliari Cagliari 1-1 HT 1-0 Venezia Venezia İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cagliari
3-0
AWAY Venezia
1.60 xG 0.52
43% Ball Possession 57%
20 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 8
270 Passes 402
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Cagliari vs Venezia
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Cagliari swept aside Venezia 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 36% / 31% — and on the day Cagliari made the difference. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (61%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Cagliari had 43% of the ball to Venezia's 57%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 1.60 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venezia led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cagliari and 1.33 for Venezia.

Cagliari vs Venezia Result & Final Score

Cagliari 3-0 Venezia in the Italy - Serie A on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Cagliari vs Venezia Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cagliari 33%, draw 36%, Venezia 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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