Parma 0-0 Napoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 18 May 2025

Parma
0-0 HT 0-0
Napoli
📅18/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.4
Draw
23%
3.94
Away Pick
52%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.9
Over
50%
1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.0
No
50%
1.72
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.23
2-3
43%
1.79
4-5
21%
3.51
6+
9%
13.8
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.23 — our 27% vs market 25.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
11.2
1/2
9%
24.2
1/X
7%
19.9
X/1
7%
12.7
X/2
20%
3.85
X/X
8%
5.62
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
23%
1.86
2/X
8%
17.3
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parma The Market 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Napoli The Market 67%
Great Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.04 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.66
1.74 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.87
Great Attackvs comparable teams Average
Great Defensevs comparable teams Strong
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 83%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
9.2 Crosses 17.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parma
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Napoli
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.00 xG 1.62
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
300 Passes 547
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Napoli Napoli 2-1 HT 0-1 Parma Parma İTA
31.01.2021 Napoli Napoli 2-0 HT 1-0 Parma Parma İTA
20.09.2020 Parma Parma 0-2 HT 0-0 Napoli Napoli İTA
22.07.2020 Parma Parma 2-1 HT 1-0 Napoli Napoli İTA
14.12.2019 Napoli Napoli 1-2 HT 0-1 Parma Parma İTA
24.02.2019 Parma Parma 0-4 HT 0-2 Napoli Napoli İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parma
0-0
AWAY Napoli
0.40 xG 0.38
28% Ball Possession 72%
6 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
129 Passes 458
63% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Box Touches 20
8 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Parma vs Napoli
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Parma and Napoli cancelled each other out in a 0-0. Chances came and went, but the finishing never arrived.

We leaned Napoli at 52% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. Small consolation: at 1.49 (roughly 67%) the price was further off than we were.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.72, roughly 58%.

By the numbers, Napoli saw more of the ball, 72% to 28%, shots finished 6-7, expected goals 0.40 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli led the recent series with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Parma against 2.00 for Napoli.

Parma vs Napoli Result & Final Score

Parma 0-0 Napoli in the Italy - Serie A on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Parma vs Napoli Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Parma 25%, draw 23%, Napoli 52%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Napoli)
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