Inter 2-2 Lazio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 18 May 2025

Inter
2-2 HT 1-0
Lazio
📅18/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.1
Over
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
51%
1.69
No
49%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.94
2-3
38%
1.85
4-5
27%
3.04
6+
9%
9.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.15
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.8
X/1
10%
4.41
X/2
10%
10.1
X/X
12%
5.59
2/1
9%
21.9
2/2
14%
7.66
2/X
6%
15.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.9 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter The Market 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio The Market 23%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.94 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.91
1.07 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.59
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Weak
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
427 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 82%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
21.5 Crosses 12.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Lazio
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.19 xG 0.78
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
489 Passes 375
89% Pass Accuracy 86%
27 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2025 Inter Inter 2-0 HT 1-0 Lazio Lazio İTK
16.12.2024 Lazio Lazio 0-6 HT 0-2 Inter Inter İTA
19.05.2024 Inter Inter 1-1 HT 0-1 Lazio Lazio İTA
19.01.2024 Inter Inter 3-0 HT 1-0 Lazio Lazio İTSK
17.12.2023 Lazio Lazio 0-2 HT 0-1 Inter Inter İTA
30.04.2023 Inter Inter 3-1 HT 0-1 Lazio Lazio İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter
2-2
AWAY Lazio
1.13 xG 2.09
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
454 Passes 361
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
33 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Inter vs Lazio
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Inter and Lazio finished all square at 2-2. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.

A gentle 47% lean on Inter didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. Small consolation: at 1.66 (roughly 60%) the price was further off than we were.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 50% and both teams to score at 51%. At 1.71 (~58%), the over-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

On the day, Inter had 56% of the ball to Lazio's 44%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.13 to 2.09.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Inter and 0.33 for Lazio.

Inter vs Lazio Result & Final Score

Inter 2-2 Lazio in the Italy - Serie A on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Inter vs Lazio Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Inter 47%, draw 24%, Lazio 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter) ✓ BTTS Yes
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