Monza vs Empoli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Monza v Empoli — Team-Based Signals
Monza vs Empoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Monza 1-3 Empoli — Actual Match Statistics
Empoli saw off Monza 3-1 on the road. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
As we said in the preview, our model had Empoli as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) never looked like landing.
By the numbers, Monza had 68% of the ball to Empoli's 32%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.15 to 1.27.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Monza and 1.00 for Empoli.
Monza vs Empoli Result & Final Score
Monza 1-3 Empoli in the Italy - Serie A on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Monza vs Empoli Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Empoli win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Monza 26%, draw 27%, Empoli 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Empoli) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.