Stuttgart vs Mainz 05 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stuttgart v Mainz 05 — Team-Based Signals
Stuttgart vs Mainz 05 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-0
Stuttgart
AL1
1-4
HT 1-1
Stuttgart
AL1
1-1
HT 1-1
Mainz 05
AL1
Stuttgart 2-1 Mainz 05 — Actual Match Statistics
Stuttgart squeezed past Mainz 05 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stuttgart as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Stuttgart had 59% of the ball to Mainz 05's 41%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.94 to 1.39.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stuttgart had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Stuttgart and 1.50 for Mainz 05.
What was the final score of Stuttgart vs Mainz 05?
Stuttgart 2-1 Mainz 05 in the Germany - Bundesliga on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stuttgart vs Mainz 05?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stuttgart win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Stuttgart 48%, draw 22%, Mainz 05 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stuttgart), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.