Mainz 05 2-0 Stuttgart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.67
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.64
1/2
11%
24.3
1/X
8%
12.65
X/1
14%
6.88
X/2
13%
5.21
X/X
13%
4.87
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
13%
3.01
2/X
7%
12.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-5.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mainz 05 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 46%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -16%
1.37/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.13
-18% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -18%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
18.1 Crosses 18.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mainz 05
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Stuttgart
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.36 xG 1.96
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
293 Passes 449
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Stuttgart Stuttgart 3-3 HT 2-1 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 AL1
11.02.2024 Stuttgart Stuttgart 3-1 HT 2-0 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 AL1
16.09.2023 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 1-3 HT 0-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
21.05.2023 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 1-4 HT 1-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
21.01.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 1-1 HT 1-1 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 AL1
16.04.2022 Mainz 05 Mainz 05 0-0 HT 0-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mainz 05
2-0
AWAY Stuttgart
1.93 xG 1.11
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
254 Passes 389
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 43
21 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mainz 05 vs Stuttgart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mainz 05 beat Stuttgart 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Mainz 05 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Mainz 05 had 43% of the ball to Stuttgart's 57%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.93 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stuttgart led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mainz 05 and 2.33 for Stuttgart.

What was the final score of Mainz 05 vs Stuttgart?

Mainz 05 2-0 Stuttgart in the Germany - Bundesliga on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mainz 05 vs Stuttgart?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stuttgart win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 36%, draw 27%, Stuttgart 37%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stuttgart) ✗ BTTS Yes
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