Renofa Yamaguchi 1-0 Kataller Toyama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.56
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.15
6+ Goals
10%
20.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.3pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 28%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.96/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.17
+27% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
286 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.1 Crosses 14.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Kataller Toyama
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 13
11 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
407 Passes 282
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2025 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 2-2 HT 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
1-0
AWAY Kataller Toyama
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
210 Passes 260
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kataller Toyama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renofa Yamaguchi nicked a narrow win over Kataller Toyama 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Renofa Yamaguchi as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Renofa Yamaguchi had 46% of the ball to Kataller Toyama's 54%, shots finished 12-7.

What was the final score of Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kataller Toyama?

Renofa Yamaguchi 1-0 Kataller Toyama in the Japan - J2 League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kataller Toyama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Renofa Yamaguchi win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Renofa Yamaguchi 49%, draw 24%, Kataller Toyama 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi) ✓ Under 2.5
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