Vegalta Sendai 3-2 Sagan Tosu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 26 Oct 2025

Vegalta Sendai
3-2 HT 0-1
Sagan Tosu
📅26/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2025

Vegalta Sendai vs Sagan Tosu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.86
6+ Goals
10%
17.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.6pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vegalta Sendai v Sagan Tosu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagan Tosu EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.19/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.20
-14% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
319 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.9 Crosses 18.8
1.1 Yellow Cards 0.1

Vegalta Sendai vs Sagan Tosu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vegalta Sendai
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Sagan Tosu
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.09 xG 1.64
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
282 Passes 491
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.02.2025 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 0-1 HT 0-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
29.08.2021 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 0-1 HT 0-0 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP
10.03.2021 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 5-0 HT 3-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP
25.11.2020 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 0-1 HT 0-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP
08.11.2020 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 0-3 HT 0-1 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP
31.08.2019 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 2-1 HT 0-1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP

Vegalta Sendai 3-2 Sagan Tosu — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vegalta Sendai
3-2
AWAY Sagan Tosu
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
379 Passes 400
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vegalta Sendai vs Sagan Tosu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vegalta Sendai nicked a narrow win over Sagan Tosu 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Vegalta Sendai found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vegalta Sendai had 49% of the ball to Sagan Tosu's 51%, shots finished 15-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sagan Tosu led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Vegalta Sendai and 1.83 for Sagan Tosu.

What was the final score of Vegalta Sendai vs Sagan Tosu?

Vegalta Sendai 3-2 Sagan Tosu in the Japan - J2 League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vegalta Sendai vs Sagan Tosu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vegalta Sendai win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vegalta Sendai 40%, draw 26%, Sagan Tosu 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vegalta Sendai), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) ✓ BTTS Yes
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