Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 Oita Trinita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.38
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
4.52
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.38 — our 35% vs market 34.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.8pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.2pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -8%
1.36/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.34
+4% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.5 Crosses 16.8
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Oita Trinita
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
520 Passes 145
82% Pass Accuracy 63%
26 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2025 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-0 HT 1-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
11.08.2024 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 2-1 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
28.04.2024 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-2 HT 1-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
16.07.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-3 HT 1-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
13.05.2023 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-1 HT 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
30.10.2022 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 2-2 HT 0-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
0-1
AWAY Oita Trinita
63% Ball Possession 37%
7 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
332 Passes 167
77% Pass Accuracy 65%
17 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Roasso Kumamoto vs Oita Trinita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oita Trinita edged past Roasso Kumamoto 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Oita Trinita found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Roasso Kumamoto had 63% of the ball to Oita Trinita's 37%, shots finished 7-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oita Trinita led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Roasso Kumamoto and 1.83 for Oita Trinita.

What was the final score of Roasso Kumamoto vs Oita Trinita?

Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 Oita Trinita in the Japan - J2 League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roasso Kumamoto vs Oita Trinita?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roasso Kumamoto win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Roasso Kumamoto 37%, draw 30%, Oita Trinita 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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