Metta / LU Riga 3-2 Auda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.48
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
56%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
19%
+3.0pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.5pp
56%
Away Win
58%
-2.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.5pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Auda EU Bookmakers 62%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -10%
1.23/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/0.97
+6% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +20%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
245 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 80%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.9
22.8 Crosses 22.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metta / LU Riga
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Auda
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.57 xG 2.43
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
280 Passes 503
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 39
14 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2025 Auda Auda 0-1 HT 0-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
29.05.2025 Auda Auda 4-1 HT 1-1 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
13.04.2025 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-1 HT 0-1 Auda Auda LET
09.11.2024 Auda Auda 5-0 HT 2-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
25.08.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-4 HT 0-1 Auda Auda LET
16.06.2024 Auda Auda 4-0 HT 3-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metta / LU Riga
3-2
AWAY Auda
1.36 xG 2.07
31% Ball Possession 69%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
176 Passes 480
67% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 42
17 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Metta / LU Riga vs Auda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metta / LU Riga nicked a narrow win over Auda 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Auda carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Metta / LU Riga had 31% of the ball to Auda's 69%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 1.36 to 2.07 — on chances, Auda could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auda led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Metta / LU Riga and 3.00 for Auda.

What was the final score of Metta / LU Riga vs Auda?

Metta / LU Riga 3-2 Auda in the Latvia - Virsliga on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metta / LU Riga vs Auda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Metta / LU Riga 22%, draw 22%, Auda 56%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Auda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Auda) ✓ Over 2.5
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