Auda 4-1 Metta / LU Riga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 29 May 2025

📅29/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.25
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
76%
-12.8pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.4pp
16%
Away Win
8%
+7.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.9pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auda EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.97/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/2.08
-27% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -17%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
441 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
33.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
22.6 Crosses 14.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auda
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Metta / LU Riga
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.09 xG 0.54
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
493 Passes 325
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-1 HT 0-1 Auda Auda LET
09.11.2024 Auda Auda 5-0 HT 2-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
25.08.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-4 HT 0-1 Auda Auda LET
16.06.2024 Auda Auda 4-0 HT 3-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
26.04.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-3 HT 0-2 Auda Auda LET
15.09.2023 Auda Auda 3-1 HT 2-1 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auda
4-1
AWAY Metta / LU Riga
3.49 xG 0.51
69% Ball Possession 31%
32 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
516 Passes 175
89% Pass Accuracy 70%
51 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Auda vs Metta / LU Riga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auda swept aside Metta / LU Riga 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Auda as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Auda had 69% of the ball to Metta / LU Riga's 31%, shots finished 32-10, expected goals 3.49 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auda had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Auda and 0.33 for Metta / LU Riga.

What was the final score of Auda vs Metta / LU Riga?

Auda 4-1 Metta / LU Riga in the Latvia - Virsliga on 29/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auda vs Metta / LU Riga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Auda 63%, draw 21%, Metta / LU Riga 16%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auda), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Auda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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