Kasımpaşa 1-1 Beşiktaş — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 26 Oct 2025

Kasımpaşa
1 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Beşiktaş
📅26/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2025/2026

Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.87
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
56%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.1
Over Pick
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.64
No
43%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
21%
3.98
2-3
45%
1.84
4-5
26%
2.98
6+
8%
9.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.04
1/2 ✗
4%
21.25
1/X
5%
15.35
X/1
8%
9.38
X/2
19%
4.37
X/X
13%
5.7
2/1
2%
35.0
2/2
32%
2.19
2/X
5%
13.95
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.25 — our 4% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Kasımpaşa v Beşiktaş — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Kasımpaşa The Market 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Beşiktaş The Market 58%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.32 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.71
1.75 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.90
Great Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Average
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
243 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 82%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2

Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kasımpaşa
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Beşiktaş
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.33 xG 1.77
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 Passes 380
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.04.2025 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 1-1 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
02.11.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-3 HT 1-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
26.05.2024 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-1 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
05.01.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-3 HT 1-1 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
03.06.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-5 HT 0-2 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
07.01.2023 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-1 HT 2-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL

Kasımpaşa 1-1 Beşiktaş — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kasımpaşa
1 - 1
AWAY Beşiktaş
1.03 xG 3.11
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 0
181 Passes 441
72% Pass Accuracy 88%
22 Box Touches 26
24 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Kasımpaşa and Beşiktaş couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our model won't enjoy this one — Beşiktaş at 56% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. The goals card split: both teams to score (57%) came in, over 2.5 goals (57%) didn't.

By the numbers, Kasımpaşa had 34% of the ball to Beşiktaş's 66%, shots finished 12-20, expected goals 1.03 to 3.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kasımpaşa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kasımpaşa and 1.83 for Beşiktaş.

Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş Result & Final Score

Kasımpaşa 1 - 1 Beşiktaş in the Turkey - Super League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Kasımpaşa 21%, draw 23%, Beşiktaş 56%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beşiktaş), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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