Levadiakos 1-1 Aris Saloniki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
25%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+2.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-3.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.7pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levadiakos EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.25/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.96
+15% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
20.2 Crosses 18.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levadiakos
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Aris Saloniki
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.02 xG 1.16
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
276 Passes 403
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2025 Levadiakos Levadiakos 4-1 HT 1-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
03.11.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 3-1 HT 2-1 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
11.01.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-0 HT 1-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUK
21.12.2022 Levadiakos Levadiakos 1-1 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
16.12.2022 Levadiakos Levadiakos 1-2 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUK
21.08.2022 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 3-0 HT 2-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levadiakos
1-1
AWAY Aris Saloniki
1.19 xG 0.73
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
361 Passes 123
81% Pass Accuracy 60%
21 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Levadiakos vs Aris Saloniki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levadiakos and Aris Saloniki couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Levadiakos at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Levadiakos had 68% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 32%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.19 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aris Saloniki led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Levadiakos and 1.83 for Aris Saloniki.

What was the final score of Levadiakos vs Aris Saloniki?

Levadiakos 1-1 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Super League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levadiakos vs Aris Saloniki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levadiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Levadiakos 45%, draw 30%, Aris Saloniki 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Levadiakos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Levadiakos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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