Panathinaikos 2-0 Asteras Tripolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.27
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
13%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
75%
-5.7pp
18%
Draw
17%
+1.0pp
13%
Away Win
9%
+4.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.9pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 11%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +17%
1.81/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.77
-13% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
422 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 78%
32.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.2
22.4 Crosses 12.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.51 xG 0.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
472 Passes 262
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.12.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-1 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
18.08.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
21.01.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
28.09.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-4 HT 1-2 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
30.01.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-0 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
09.10.2022 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-0 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
2-0
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
2.25 xG 0.22
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 2
410 Passes 294
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
35 Box Touches 6
31 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos got the better of Asteras Tripolis 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Panathinaikos as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Panathinaikos had 57% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 43%, shots finished 17-3, expected goals 2.25 to 0.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Panathinaikos and 0.50 for Asteras Tripolis.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Panathinaikos 2-0 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Super League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 69%, draw 18%, Asteras Tripolis 13%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Panathinaikos)
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