Olympiakos 2-0 AEK Atina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
18%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.72
2-3 Goals
36%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.88
6+ Goals
9%
18.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 33% vs market 29.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.45
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.2
X/1 EV+ ✗
32%
4.27
X/2
5%
8.52
X/X
10%
4.47
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
9%
7.08
2/X
6%
15.6
Value flag · X/1 at 4.27 — our 32% vs market 18.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
52%
+4.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
18%
Away Win
22%
-3.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.8pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 25%
+2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +2%
1.26/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.24
-2% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
20.7 Crosses 14.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympiakos
5W-0D-1L
AWAY AEK Atina
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.54 xG 0.99
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
216 Passes 253
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2025 AEK Atina AEK Atina 0-2 HT 0-1 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
13.04.2025 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-0 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
02.04.2025 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-0 HT 1-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUK
02.03.2025 AEK Atina AEK Atina 0-1 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
26.02.2025 Olympiakos Olympiakos 6-0 HT 3-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUK
24.11.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 4-1 HT 1-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympiakos
2-0
AWAY AEK Atina
2.31 xG 0.32
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
285 Passes 311
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Olympiakos vs AEK Atina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos beat AEK Atina 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Olympiakos as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Olympiakos had 48% of the ball to AEK Atina's 52%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 2.31 to 0.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Olympiakos and 0.50 for AEK Atina.

What was the final score of Olympiakos vs AEK Atina?

Olympiakos 2-0 AEK Atina in the Greece - Super League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympiakos vs AEK Atina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Olympiakos 56%, draw 25%, AEK Atina 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympiakos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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