Chesham United 2-1 Hampton & Richmond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Nov 2024

Chesham United
2-1 HT 1-0
Hampton & Richmond
📅26/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Chesham United vs Hampton & Richmond Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.9
6+ Goals
10%
17.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 30% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chesham United v Hampton & Richmond — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesham United EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Hampton & Richmond EU Bookmakers 32%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +22%
1.01/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.19
-33% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Chesham United vs Hampton & Richmond Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chesham United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hampton & Richmond
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
The Meetings
16.07.2019 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 1-5 HT 0-1 Chesham United Chesham United HAZ

Chesham United 2-1 Hampton & Richmond — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chesham United
2-1
AWAY Hampton & Richmond
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Chesham United vs Hampton & Richmond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chesham United edged past Hampton & Richmond 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chesham United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Chesham United had 34% of the ball to Hampton & Richmond's 66%, shots finished 7-16.

What was the final score of Chesham United vs Hampton & Richmond?

Chesham United 2-1 Hampton & Richmond in the England - Conference on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesham United vs Hampton & Richmond?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chesham United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chesham United 41%, draw 27%, Hampton & Richmond 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chesham United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chesham United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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