CSKA Moskova 2-1 Makhachkala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 26 Nov 2025

📅26/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.02
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.74
6+ Goals
9%
16.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 30% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.72
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
19.8
X/1
18%
3.67
X/2
7%
15.3
X/X
11%
5.67
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
8%
14.45
2/X
5%
23.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
67%
-7.7pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.2pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+6.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.0pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +53% / +53%
1.75/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.58
-14% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +150%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
380 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Moskova
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Makhachkala
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
1.15 xG 0.72
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
350 Passes 230
76% Pass Accuracy 66%
17 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2025 Makhachkala Makhachkala 0-1 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
05.11.2025 Makhachkala Makhachkala 1-0 HT 1-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
29.03.2025 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-0 HT 1-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS
19.10.2024 Makhachkala Makhachkala 0-1 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Moskova
2-1
AWAY Makhachkala
72% Ball Possession 28%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH CSKA Moskova vs Makhachkala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova nicked a narrow win over Makhachkala 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CSKA Moskova as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CSKA Moskova had 72% of the ball to Makhachkala's 28%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CSKA Moskova and 0.25 for Makhachkala.

What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs Makhachkala?

CSKA Moskova 2-1 Makhachkala in the Russia - Cup on 26/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs Makhachkala?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 59%, draw 22%, Makhachkala 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Moskova) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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