Lokomotiv Moscow vs Spartak Moskova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lokomotiv Moscow v Spartak Moskova — Team-Based Signals
Lokomotiv Moscow vs Spartak Moskova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-0
Lokomotiv Moscow
RUS
1-1
HT 0-0
Spartak Moskova
RUS
Lokomotiv Moscow 2-3 Spartak Moskova — Actual Match Statistics
Spartak Moskova squeezed past Lokomotiv Moscow 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Spartak Moskova found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Lokomotiv Moscow had 38% of the ball to Spartak Moskova's 62%, shots finished 7-14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Lokomotiv Moscow and 2.50 for Spartak Moskova.
What was the final score of Lokomotiv Moscow vs Spartak Moskova?
Lokomotiv Moscow 2-3 Spartak Moskova in the Russia - Cup on 26/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Moscow vs Spartak Moskova?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Moscow 38%, draw 29%, Spartak Moskova 33%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow) went the other way.