Brackley Town 2-1 Leamington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.68
Over
37%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.57
2-3
41%
1.71
4-5
17%
4.09
6+
7%
20.55
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.57 — our 35% vs market 31.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.9pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.1pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.9pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Leamington EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -11%
1.23/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.28
-26% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brackley Town
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Leamington
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
07.03.2023 Brackley Town Brackley Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Leamington Leamington İCON
06.12.2022 Leamington Leamington 0-0 HT 0-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
15.04.2022 Leamington Leamington 0-0 HT 0-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
30.08.2021 Brackley Town Brackley Town 2-1 HT 2-0 Leamington Leamington İCON
01.12.2020 Leamington Leamington 1-1 HT 1-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brackley Town
2-1
AWAY Leamington
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Brackley Town vs Leamington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brackley Town nicked a narrow win over Leamington 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Brackley Town as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brackley Town had 50% of the ball to Leamington's 50%, shots finished 12-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Brackley Town and 0.80 for Leamington.

What was the final score of Brackley Town vs Leamington?

Brackley Town 2-1 Leamington in the England - Conference on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brackley Town vs Leamington?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brackley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Brackley Town 44%, draw 31%, Leamington 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brackley Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brackley Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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