Chippenham Town 0-3 Bath City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.75
Over
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.84
2-3
40%
1.71
4-5
20%
3.7
6+
9%
16.3
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.84 — our 31% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.2pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Bath City EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.75/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.49
+16% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
257 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chippenham Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bath City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.01.2024 Bath City Bath City 0-0 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
26.12.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
01.01.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
26.12.2022 Bath City Bath City 1-3 HT 1-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
02.01.2022 Bath City Bath City 2-0 HT 2-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
26.12.2021 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 1-4 HT 0-1 Bath City Bath City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chippenham Town
0-3
AWAY Bath City
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chippenham Town vs Bath City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bath City cruised past Chippenham Town 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 29% — and on the day Bath City made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chippenham Town had 63% of the ball to Bath City's 37%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bath City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Chippenham Town and 1.50 for Bath City.

What was the final score of Chippenham Town vs Bath City?

Chippenham Town 0-3 Bath City in the England - Conference on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chippenham Town vs Bath City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chippenham Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chippenham Town 40%, draw 30%, Bath City 29%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Chippenham Town), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chippenham Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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