Dorking Wanderers 1-2 Worthing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.38
Over Pick
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1
24%
4.75
2-3
46%
1.88
4-5
21%
2.63
6+
9%
6.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.0pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Worthing EU Bookmakers 31%
+10% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +9%
1.96/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.10
+19% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +35%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorking Wanderers
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Worthing
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
27.11.2021 Worthing Worthing 0-2 HT 0-1 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dorking Wanderers
1-2
AWAY Worthing
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dorking Wanderers vs Worthing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing nicked a narrow win over Dorking Wanderers 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Dorking Wanderers at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Dorking Wanderers had 47% of the ball to Worthing's 53%, shots finished 13-9.

What was the final score of Dorking Wanderers vs Worthing?

Dorking Wanderers 1-2 Worthing in the England - Conference on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorking Wanderers vs Worthing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Dorking Wanderers 45%, draw 23%, Worthing 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
26 Dec 2024
00:00 Radcliffe Borough vs Chorley Analysis →
00:00 Hemel Hempstead Town vs St. Albans City Analysis →
16:00 Rushall Olympic vs Oxford City Analysis →
16:00 Hereford FC vs Kidderminster Harriers Analysis →
16:00 Tonbridge Angels vs Maidstone United Analysis →
16:00 Aveley vs AFC Hornchurch Analysis →