Marine 2-3 Chester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.31
6+ Goals
7%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marine EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Chester EU Bookmakers 48%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
0.87/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.97
-33% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 184 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marine
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Chester
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
24.10.2020 Chester Chester 0-1 HT 0-0 Marine Marine FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marine
2-3
AWAY Chester
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Marine vs Chester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chester squeezed past Marine 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chester as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Marine had 53% of the ball to Chester's 47%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of Marine vs Chester?

Marine 2-3 Chester in the England - Conference on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marine vs Chester?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Marine 31%, draw 28%, Chester 42%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chester) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chester) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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