Truro City 1-1 Weston-super-Mare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Dec 2024

Truro City
1-1 HT 0-1
Weston-super-Mare
📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Truro City vs Weston-super-Mare Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.73
2-3 Goals
45%
1.71
4-5 Goals
16%
3.84
6+ Goals
7%
17.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 32% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.7pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Truro City v Weston-super-Mare — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Truro City EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
1.52/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.81
+0% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7

Truro City vs Weston-super-Mare Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Truro City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 2-3 HT 1-0 Truro City Truro City İCON
23.09.2023 Truro City Truro City 0-1 HT 0-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
16.09.2023 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 2-0 HT 2-0 Truro City Truro City FAK
28.01.2023 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 0-1 HT 0-1 Truro City Truro City İNGNLP
14.09.2022 Truro City Truro City 0-0 HT 0-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İNGNLP
18.04.2022 Truro City Truro City 0-4 HT 0-2 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İNGNLP

Truro City 1-1 Weston-super-Mare — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Truro City
1-1
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Truro City vs Weston-super-Mare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Truro City and Weston-super-Mare couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Truro City at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Truro City had 49% of the ball to Weston-super-Mare's 51%, shots finished 11-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Weston-super-Mare led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Truro City and 1.50 for Weston-super-Mare.

What was the final score of Truro City vs Weston-super-Mare?

Truro City 1-1 Weston-super-Mare in the England - Conference on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Truro City vs Weston-super-Mare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Truro City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Truro City 42%, draw 28%, Weston-super-Mare 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Truro City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Truro City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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