Bedford Town 2-1 Hitchin Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
36%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.18
Over 2.5
61%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-9.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+9.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
42%
-3.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
58%
+3.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.6pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bedford Town EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Hitchin Town EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
2.59/2.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.57
+50% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bedford Town
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Hitchin Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
28.01.2023 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Bedford Town Bedford Town İNGNLP
13.09.2022 Bedford Town Bedford Town 3-0 HT 2-0 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Bedford Town vs Hitchin Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bedford Town squeezed past Hitchin Town 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bedford Town as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bedford Town had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bedford Town and 0.00 for Hitchin Town.

What was the final score of Bedford Town vs Hitchin Town?

Bedford Town 2-1 Hitchin Town in the England - Non League Premier on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bedford Town vs Hitchin Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bedford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bedford Town 42%, draw 22%, Hitchin Town 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bedford Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bedford Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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