Havant & Waterlooville 3-1 Gosport Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.21
Over Pick
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
41%
4-5
22%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-7.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+7.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.8pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havant & Waterlooville EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Gosport Borough EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
2.00/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.47
+15% / +145% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
POST-MATCH Havant & Waterlooville vs Gosport Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Havant & Waterlooville beat Gosport Borough 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Havant & Waterlooville as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Havant & Waterlooville vs Gosport Borough?

Havant & Waterlooville 3-1 Gosport Borough in the England - Non League Premier on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havant & Waterlooville vs Gosport Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Havant & Waterlooville win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Havant & Waterlooville 44%, draw 24%, Gosport Borough 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Havant & Waterlooville), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Havant & Waterlooville) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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