Macclesfield 1-2 Leek Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.32
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
72%
-14.9pp
23%
Draw
17%
+6.0pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+8.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.4pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macclesfield EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Leek Town EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
2.79/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.78
+26% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +150%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
355 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 177 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macclesfield
1-2
AWAY Leek Town
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Macclesfield vs Leek Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leek Town squeezed past Macclesfield 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Macclesfield carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Macclesfield had 61% of the ball to Leek Town's 39%, shots finished 17-11.

What was the final score of Macclesfield vs Leek Town?

Macclesfield 1-2 Leek Town in the England - Non League Premier on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macclesfield vs Leek Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macclesfield win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Macclesfield 57%, draw 23%, Leek Town 20%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Macclesfield) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Macclesfield) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
26 Dec 2024
00:00 Mickleover Sports vs Ashton United Analysis →
16:00 Stockton Town vs Hebburn Town Analysis →
16:00 Winchester City vs AFC Totton Analysis →
16:00 Sholing vs Wimborne Town Analysis →
16:00 Leiston vs Lowestoft Town Analysis →
16:00 AFC Sudbury vs Bishops Stortford Analysis →