Holywell 2-0 Llay Miners Welfare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.11
Draw
13%
8.11
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
27%
Over 2.5
73%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
11%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
22%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
51%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
85%
-12.6pp
13%
Draw
9%
+3.6pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holywell EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Llay Miners Welfare EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.78/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/3.46
-12% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -16%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
460 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holywell
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Llay Miners Welfare
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
23.08.2024 Llay Miners Welfare Llay Miners Welfare 2-5 HT 2-2 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
03.08.2024 Holywell Holywell 3-1 Llay Miners Welfare Llay Miners Welfare GALLK
POST-MATCH Holywell vs Llay Miners Welfare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holywell beat Llay Miners Welfare 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Holywell as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (73%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Holywell had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Holywell and 1.50 for Llay Miners Welfare.

What was the final score of Holywell vs Llay Miners Welfare?

Holywell 2-0 Llay Miners Welfare in the Wales - FAW Championship on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holywell vs Llay Miners Welfare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Holywell 72%, draw 13%, Llay Miners Welfare 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holywell) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Holywell) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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