Torquay United 3-1 Weston-super-Mare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Dec 2025

📅26/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.9
Over 2.5
55%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.3
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.33
6+ Goals
10%
12.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.33 — our 27% vs market 23.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.0pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torquay United EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 28%
+12% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
2.00/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.93
+21% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
399 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torquay United
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2025 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 1-1 HT 1-0 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
26.11.2024 Torquay United Torquay United 4-2 HT 2-2 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
01.04.2024 Torquay United Torquay United 3-3 HT 2-1 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
24.10.2023 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 3-2 HT 1-0 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
POST-MATCH Torquay United vs Weston-super-Mare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torquay United beat Weston-super-Mare 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Torquay United as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Torquay United and 2.25 for Weston-super-Mare.

What was the final score of Torquay United vs Weston-super-Mare?

Torquay United 3-1 Weston-super-Mare in the England - Conference on 26/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torquay United vs Weston-super-Mare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torquay United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Torquay United 50%, draw 27%, Weston-super-Mare 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torquay United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Torquay United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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