Portsmouth 1-1 Queens Park Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 26 Dec 2025

Portsmouth
1-1 HT 1-0
Queens Park Rangers
📅26/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Championship – 2025/2026

Portsmouth vs Queens Park Rangers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.98
6+ Goals
13%
18.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.61
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
28.5
1/X
8%
14.1
X/1
9%
6.23
X/2
10%
5.08
X/X
12%
4.41
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
17%
3.37
2/X
6%
13.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.5 — our 9% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS Yes — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
33%
+5.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-4.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.9pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Portsmouth v Queens Park Rangers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portsmouth EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 43%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.50/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.10
+4% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +6%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
259 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 76%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
23.8 Crosses 18.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Portsmouth vs Queens Park Rangers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portsmouth
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.83 xG 0.92
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
184 Passes 324
59% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.02.2025 Portsmouth Portsmouth 2-1 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
19.10.2024 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-2 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNCL
28.08.2019 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-2 HT 0-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNLK
05.02.2019 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 2-0 HT 0-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth FAK
26.01.2019 Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-1 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers FAK
01.02.2011 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 2-0 HT 0-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNCL

Portsmouth 1-1 Queens Park Rangers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portsmouth
1-1
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
0.53 xG 0.47
67% Ball Possession 33%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
494 Passes 211
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Portsmouth vs Queens Park Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portsmouth and Queens Park Rangers shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Portsmouth had 67% of the ball to Queens Park Rangers's 33%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.53 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portsmouth had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Portsmouth and 1.17 for Queens Park Rangers.

What was the final score of Portsmouth vs Queens Park Rangers?

Portsmouth 1-1 Queens Park Rangers in the England - Championship on 26/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portsmouth vs Queens Park Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portsmouth win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Portsmouth 38%, draw 26%, Queens Park Rangers 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Portsmouth), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portsmouth) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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