Sheffield Wednesday 2-2 Hull City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 26 Dec 2025

📅26/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
53%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.95
Over 2.5
57%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
25%
3.33
6+ Goals
12%
12.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.33 — our 25% vs market 24.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.52
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
23.1
1/X
7%
15.0
X/1
8%
8.5
X/2
15%
4.48
X/X
9%
5.13
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
30%
2.43
2/X
9%
13.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.1 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
24%
-0.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
53%
Away Win
52%
+1.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.2pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sheffield Wednesday EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Hull City EU Bookmakers 56%
-3% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -8%
1.26/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.75
-13% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 75%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
18.8 Crosses 23.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sheffield Wednesday
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Hull City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.35 xG 1.18
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
317 Passes 382
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 0-1 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
26.11.2024 Hull City Hull City 0-2 HT 0-1 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
14.08.2024 Hull City Hull City 1-2 HT 1-2 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNLK
01.01.2024 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 3-1 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
12.08.2023 Hull City Hull City 4-2 HT 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
01.01.2020 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 0-1 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sheffield Wednesday
2-2
AWAY Hull City
1.56 xG 1.52
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
292 Passes 382
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sheffield Wednesday vs Hull City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheffield Wednesday and Hull City shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hull City at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sheffield Wednesday had 45% of the ball to Hull City's 55%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.56 to 1.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sheffield Wednesday and 1.33 for Hull City.

What was the final score of Sheffield Wednesday vs Hull City?

Sheffield Wednesday 2-2 Hull City in the England - Championship on 26/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sheffield Wednesday vs Hull City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hull City win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sheffield Wednesday 23%, draw 24%, Hull City 53%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hull City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hull City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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