Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newcastle Jets v Macarthur — Team-Based Signals
Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Macarthur
AVUS
Newcastle Jets 4-5 Macarthur — Actual Match Statistics
Macarthur nicked a narrow win over Newcastle Jets 5-4 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Newcastle Jets at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Newcastle Jets had 63% of the ball to Macarthur's 37%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 2.23 to 2.70.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle Jets had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Newcastle Jets and 1.83 for Macarthur.
What was the final score of Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur?
Newcastle Jets 4-5 Macarthur in the Australia - A-League on 26/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle Jets win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets 46%, draw 25%, Macarthur 29%. The final score 4-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newcastle Jets) went the other way.