Fulham 0-2 Newcastle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.2
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
2.99
6+ Goals
11%
9.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.71
1/2
5%
23.0
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
9%
7.08
X/2
11%
4.81
X/X
9%
5.21
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
31.5
2/2
26%
2.75
2/X
9%
12.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.5 — our 8% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.5pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fulham EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle EU Bookmakers 49%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.47/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.35/1.69
-66% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
355 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 76%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
19.0 Crosses 17.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fulham
0-2
AWAY Newcastle
1.22 xG 1.64
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 5
446 Passes 343
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
33 Box Touches 21
39 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fulham vs Newcastle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle saw off Fulham 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Newcastle as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fulham had 56% of the ball to Newcastle's 44%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.22 to 1.64.

What was the final score of Fulham vs Newcastle?

Fulham 0-2 Newcastle in the England - FA Cup on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fulham vs Newcastle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fulham 33%, draw 24%, Newcastle 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newcastle) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FAK More England - FA Cup
27 Jan 2024
15:30 Ipswich Town vs Maidstone United Analysis →
18:00 Leicester City vs Birmingham Analysis →
18:00 Sheffield United vs Brighton & Hove Albion Analysis →
18:00 Everton vs Luton Town Analysis →
18:00 Leeds United vs Plymouth Argyle Analysis →