Leicester City vs Birmingham Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leicester City v Birmingham — Team-Based Signals
Leicester City vs Birmingham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-2
Leicester City
İNCL
1-0
HT 0-0
Birmingham
FAK
2-3
HT 2-0
Leicester City
HAZ
1-2
HT 0-1
Leicester City
İNCL
3-2
HT 0-1
Birmingham
İNCL
2-2
HT 1-0
Birmingham
İNCL
Leicester City 3-0 Birmingham — Actual Match Statistics
Leicester City ran out comfortable winners over Birmingham 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Leicester City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Leicester City had 56% of the ball to Birmingham's 44%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 1.09 to 1.44.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leicester City had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Leicester City and 1.50 for Birmingham.
What was the final score of Leicester City vs Birmingham?
Leicester City 3-0 Birmingham in the England - FA Cup on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leicester City vs Birmingham?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leicester City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Leicester City 46%, draw 27%, Birmingham 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leicester City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.