Ipswich Town 1-2 Maidstone United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.16
Draw
22%
7.13
Away
22%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.46
Over 2.5
58%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
8.87
2-3 Goals
41%
2.4
4-5 Goals
25%
2.34
6+ Goals
12%
3.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.18
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
34.0
X/1
16%
3.6
X/2
8%
34.0
X/X
7%
14.7
2/1
6%
22.6
2/2
8%
32.0
2/X
7%
34.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
82%
-25.7pp
22%
Draw
11%
+10.5pp
22%
Away Win
7%
+15.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
25%
+16.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
75%
-16.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.6pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 9%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
3.18/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/3.08
+17% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -17%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
45.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
54.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ipswich Town
1-2
AWAY Maidstone United
3.66 xG 0.84
78% Ball Possession 22%
38 Total Shots 2
13 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 0
597 Passes 99
88% Pass Accuracy 50%
61 Box Touches 7
33 Crosses 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ipswich Town vs Maidstone United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidstone United squeezed past Ipswich Town 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Ipswich Town carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Ipswich Town had 78% of the ball to Maidstone United's 22%, shots finished 38-2, expected goals 3.66 to 0.84 — on chances, Ipswich Town could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Ipswich Town vs Maidstone United?

Ipswich Town 1-2 Maidstone United in the England - FA Cup on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ipswich Town vs Maidstone United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ipswich Town win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Ipswich Town 56%, draw 22%, Maidstone United 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Ipswich Town), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ipswich Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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