Cerro Porteno 2-2 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 27 Jan 2025

📅27/01/2025 · 🕒02:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.4pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -16%
1.52/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.75
+16% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
214 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Porteno
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Libertad
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-3 HT 1-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
15.09.2024 Libertad Libertad 2-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
04.05.2024 Libertad Libertad 1-3 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
12.02.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-1 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
07.11.2023 Libertad Libertad 1-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
27.08.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-1 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
2-2
AWAY Libertad
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cerro Porteno vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno and Libertad shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cerro Porteno at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cerro Porteno had 56% of the ball to Libertad's 44%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cerro Porteno and 1.50 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Libertad?

Cerro Porteno 2-2 Libertad in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 27/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 42%, draw 29%, Libertad 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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